Strategic Autonomy in the Age of AI

Middle Power AI is a statecraft-first research platform dedicated to advancing strategic autonomy for middle powers in the age of transformative AI.

We believe strategic autonomy begins with the capacity to imagine alternatives.

In a rapidly changing technological landscape, middle powers must resist treating today's distribution of AI capabilities as the inevitable distribution of tomorrow's geopolitical power. The current concentration of frontier AI capabilities presents serious strategic challenges, but its long-term geopolitical implications remain uncertain.

Middle Power AI investigates three dimensions of that uncertainty:

• Technological alternatives that could reshape the production of advanced AI;
• Political transformations that could reshape its ownership and control;
• Strategic options available to middle powers even when facing superior, adversarial AI.

Our objective is to develop the intellectual foundations for future policy choices, making neglected possibilities legible to policymakers and opening pathways for research investment, international cooperation, and strategic experimentation.

Our founding essay, outlining the vision and research agenda of Middle Power AI, is coming soon.

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